Manchester City may now be just another very good team | Jonathan Wilson

Importance Score: 55 / 100 🔵

Manchester City Echo Past Success in Crystal Palace Victory

Manchester City’s recent 5-2 triumph over Crystal Palace evoked a sense of déjà vu. Mirroring a contest from August 2022, where Palace surged to a 2-0 lead at the Etihad Stadium—including a headed goal from a corner—only for City to rally and secure a 4-2 victory powered by an Erling Haaland hat-trick in the second half, the Saturday fixture unfolded similarly. This time, however, City’s resurgence commenced before the halftime interval. While Haaland was not the central figure this time, Kevin De Bruyne seized the spotlight, delivering a performance that served as a powerful reminder of his enduring quality, particularly poignant amidst announcements of his anticipated summer departure from the club.

Re-emergence of Manchester City?

Does this victory signify a definitive return to form for Manchester City? Their current five-game unbeaten streak, including three wins, coupled with the impact of January acquisitions like Omar Marmoush, suggests a period of stabilization. They have ascended into the Premier League top five and are on course to qualify for next season’s Champions League, pending ongoing Premier League investigations, which the club refutes. This progress represents a notable stride in their efforts to rebuild and strengthen their squad, crucial both for attracting new talent and for future adherence to Profit and Sustainability Rules.

Attacking Prowess and Shifting Aura

Manchester City continues to exhibit moments of captivating attacking football. When in rhythm, their capacity to circulate the ball with exceptional pace and purpose remains unmatched by most rivals. Their squad undeniably boasts a wealth of supremely gifted players. However, they no longer possess the commanding aura that once defined them.

Fragile Self-Belief and Tactical Approach

A contributing factor to this shift is a wavering self-belief, evident in their lackluster 0-0 draw against Manchester United the previous week. While Manchester United has shown recent signs of improvement, Newcastle United’s subsequent 4-1 victory over them highlighted their vulnerability. Yet, Manchester City opted for a cautious approach, securing a point rather than aggressively pursuing victory against a potentially weakened United side. This pragmatic approach would have been considered unthinkable for a vintage Pep Guardiola team.

Defensive Vulnerabilities Exposed

Although Crystal Palace has historically posed challenges for Manchester City, having scored twice in five of their last six encounters, the ease with which Oliver Glasner’s squad penetrated City’s defense on Saturday was noteworthy. Both Palace’s opening goal and an Eberechi Eze effort disallowed for offside stemmed from straightforward passes played behind City’s defensive line. Such defensive breaches should not occur so readily. While a high defensive line, as employed by City, inherently carries the risk of exposing space in behind, a coordinated and intense press is meant to mitigate this vulnerability by disrupting the opposition’s ability to execute precise passes. City’s press is currently underperforming, hindering their capacity to establish the level of control desired by Guardiola.

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Root Causes and Future Prospects

The pertinent question is the underlying cause of these issues and whether they can be resolved in the upcoming season. The anticipated return of Rodri to the midfield is poised to make a substantial impact, although it should not be automatically assumed that he will instantly replicate his Ballon d’Or-caliber form. Furthermore, injuries, particularly within the defensive ranks, have been disruptive. Should these injuries be attributed to fatigue, City’s participation in the Club World Cup during the summer months may exacerbate these concerns.

Squad Age and Rebuilding Imperative

However, arguably the most significant misstep made by Manchester City since Guardiola’s appointment is allowing the squad’s core to age concurrently, compounded by re-signing established players like Ilkay Gündogan. Key figures such as Kyle Walker (prior to his Milan loan), Bernardo Silva, Mateo Kovacic, and De Bruyne have shown indications of age impacting their performance. While a team can effectively integrate one or two experienced veterans, relying on four or five within a system as physically demanding as Manchester City’s is excessive.

Potential for Rejuvenation

Strategic signings offer a clear pathway to address this imbalance. The existing core of Ederson, Josko Gvardiol, Rodri, Haaland, Marmoush, and Phil Foden still forms the foundation of a formidable squad. The impending return of Oscar Bobb from injury and the promising emergence of Rico Lewis, Nico O’Reilly, and James McAtee further bolster the team’s future. The addition of three or more summer acquisitions could restore the squad to its former strength.

Guardiola’s Enduring Drive

A question also arises regarding Guardiola’s future. His past track record demonstrates remarkable adaptability and evolution throughout his managerial career. There is no definitive reason to doubt his capacity to oversee another rebuild. However, after 17 years at the highest level, the question of sustained energy and motivation naturally emerges. Sustaining peak performance for over a decade is a rare feat. While Guardiola’s visible frustration during periods of subpar results before Christmas should not be interpreted as a definitive decline, even the most exceptional managers eventually reach their zenith and begin a gradual descent.

Elite Status, Yet Diminished Dominance

Given Guardiola’s extensive success at Manchester City, a return to dominant form, akin to their resurgence after Liverpool’s 2019-20 title win, remains plausible. However, regaining auras of invincibility is a complex endeavor. The prevailing sentiment this season suggests that while Manchester City may continue to achieve success, they have transitioned into simply another elite club, rather than the all-conquering force they were for an extended period.


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