The government doesn’t understand Meta

Importance Score: 65 / 100 🔴


Government Scrutiny of Meta’s Dominance Questioned in Antitrust Trial

Regulators are rightly examining the considerable influence wielded by Meta in the social media landscape. However, the Federal Trade Commission’s (FTC) current legal challenge appears to overlook the fundamental factors underpinning Meta’s dominance in the digital sphere. This week’s courtroom proceedings, featuring testimony from Mark Zuckerberg, highlight a potential disconnect between the FTC’s approach and the realities of the social media market.

FTC’s Case Against Meta: A Misunderstanding of Social Media?

The recent Washington, DC courtroom witnessed Mark Zuckerberg defending Meta against the FTC’s attempt to dismantle the company. The FTC seeks to reverse Meta’s acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp, arguing they stifled competition. While Zuckerberg faced tough questioning and evidence suggesting a desire to “neutralize” rivals, observations from the trial raise concerns about the FTC’s grasp of the social media ecosystem.

Defining the Social Media Market: A Narrow Lens

At the heart of the FTC’s antitrust case is its definition of the relevant market: “personal social networking services.” This narrowly defined category encompasses apps facilitating sharing among close contacts, notably excluding private messaging platforms. The government posits that Meta’s primary competitors within this market are Snapchat and MeWe, a lesser-known, blockchain-based network claiming 20 million users. This selective inclusion conveniently positions Meta as holding a legal monopoly with an 80% market share in the US.

Absence of MeWe in FTC Questioning Raises Doubts

The credibility of the FTC’s market definition is questionable, evidenced by the fact that Daniel Matheson, the FTC’s lead attorney, reportedly did not mention MeWe even once during his approximately 13 hours of questioning Zuckerberg. It was only when Meta’s chief counsel, Mark Hansen, inquired about MeWe that Zuckerberg stated he was unfamiliar with the platform prior to the lawsuit.

Broader Market Reality and the Power of Network Effects

Acknowledging the complexities of market definition in antitrust cases, it’s worth noting that Judge James Boasberg may ultimately adopt a different definition than either the FTC or Meta proposes. Amidst recent government victories in Big Tech antitrust cases, such as Google’s ad tech monopoly ruling, FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson‘s public framing of the Meta case as a censorship battle suggests a potential strategy to gain public and political support. However, the FTC’s current legal strategy may be missing the essential aspects of Meta’s enduring market power.

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FTC’s Focus on Acquisitions Ignores Network Effects

Regardless of the FTC’s legal maneuvers, their approach fails to address the true source of Meta’s strength: network effects. By concentrating on acquisitions from over a decade ago in a drastically changed market, the FTC overlooks the fundamental principle that a social network’s value increases with its user base. While the lawsuit acknowledges network effects, it does not appear to be the central focus.

Leveraging Network Effects Across Platforms

Zuckerberg has consistently exploited network effects to expand Meta’s reach. He utilized Facebook’s user base to propel Instagram’s growth and leveraged the infrastructure built for these platforms to scale WhatsApp to nearly 3 billion users. This strategy continues with the integration of Threads into Instagram and the incorporation of Llama-powered AI features across Meta’s suite of applications.

Enduring Power Beyond Breakup

During his testimony, Zuckerberg observed that large apps have the capacity to diversify and expand their functionalities. While this expansion can raise antitrust concerns – as seen in Google’s case of leveraging market dominance to promote other products – it signifies a resilient source of power that a simple breakup may not resolve.

Data Portability as a Potential Solution

While separating Instagram and WhatsApp could foster short-term competition, sustained competition requires enabling users to transfer their profiles and social connections to rival services. Although implementing such data portability presents privacy and regulatory hurdles, user demand for greater control is evident in the interest surrounding platforms like Bluesky and ActivityPub, with which Threads now integrates.

FTC’s Case Still Developing, but Focus Questionable

The FTC v. Meta trial is in its early stages and could still reveal compelling evidence warranting a breakup. However, at this juncture, the government’s line of attack appears misdirected, failing to target the core drivers of Meta’s market power.

Quick Hits

  • OpenAI’s Expanding Ambitions: OpenAI’s rapid pace of innovation and growth is unparalleled in tech history. Recent developments include the release of GPT-4.1, o3, and o4-mini, rumors of acquiring AI coding tool startup Windsurf for $3 billion, and reports of Altman’s work on a social network. OpenAI’s ambitions seem to extend beyond becoming the next Google, now potentially aiming to encompass the roles of Google, Meta, and Apple.
  • Rapid Fire: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang visited China after US export restrictions on chips. / Blue Origin launched Lauren Sánchez, Katy Perry, and others into suborbital space. / Anthropic is developing its own AI voice mode. / Meta is blocking Apple Intelligence within its apps. / Speculation surrounds a potential next-generation Apple Vision headset. / Netflix aims for a $1 trillion market capitalization by 2023.

Noteworthy Career Moves / Job Openings

  • Joaquin Quiñonero Candela’s New Role at OpenAI: As part of a strategic shift in safety efforts, OpenAI’s former AI preparedness head, Joaquin Quiñonero Candela, will now concentrate on AI applications in healthcare. The company also appointed new advisors to its “nonprofit commission.”
  • Sachin Katti Appointed Intel CTO: Sachin Katti is Intel’s new chief technology officer and head of AI, following a reorganization by CEO Lip-Bu Tan.
  • Grace Kao Joins Snap as CMO: Grace Kao has been named Snap’s new chief marketing officer.
  • Will Wu Departing Match Group: Match Group’s chief product and technology officer, Will Wu, is leaving to pursue opportunities “deeper into AI.”
  • Reed Hastings Transitions at Netflix: Reed Hastings continues his gradual step back from Netflix, becoming a non-executive director.
  • Bluesky Seeks Head of Product: Bluesky is recruiting a head of product. (Ben Werdmuller has shared insightful perspectives on this role.)
  • Google Hiring “Post-AGI” AI Scientist: Google is advertising for a “post-AGI” AI scientist position.

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