Trump’s tariffs mean you’ll pay more for all gadgets

Importance Score: 55 / 100 šŸ”µ

If you were wondering how President Trumpā€™s tariffs may impact gadgets like smartphones, laptops, and smartwatches, thereā€™s some bad, and perhaps slightly less-bad news. Unless something changes, Trumpā€™s sweeping tariffs will lead to increased prices for consumers. But it will likely take some time before that actually happens.

Modern gadgets generally arenā€™t made or assembled solely in the U.S. anymore. Device makers big and small source components from all over the world, and often have them assembled overseas before importing the final product into the country. Given that Trump has levied tariffs on every single country, it means that the cost to make all our devices will inevitably go up.

ā€œThe biggest thing right now is going to be the inflationary impact,ā€ says Jason Miller, professor of supply chain management at Michigan State University. ā€œIf they stay in place for several months, weā€™ll start to see those effects by mid-summer and certainly back-to-school season.ā€

Miller notes goods shipped from China to the U.S. will face a whopping 54 percent tariffs, including most gadgets. Vietnam, where Apple has shifted some of its manufacturing, also has a high tariff rate at 46 percent.

ā€œIf [companies] absorb the extra cost and donā€™t pass it on, their profits are going to plunge and their capital investment will drop,ā€ says Miller. ā€œOr, theyā€™ll pass a good share of it onto the downstream buyer, which in many instances is the consumer.ā€

Barring any new exemptions or changes, you can expect every single device category to be negatively impacted, says Ryan Reith, group vice president of worldwide device trackers at IDC. But devices will be impacted differently. Smartphones, says Reith, have more wiggle room than TVs or PCs as they have a ā€œwell-established monthly hardware payment dependence.ā€

Miller agrees, noting that itā€™s not likely that a smartphone will suddenly be 50 percent more expensive. A more reasonable expectation would be a roughly 20 percent bump.

Itā€™s reasonable to expect the price of phones to go up by about 20 percent, says Jason Miller, professor of supply chain management at Michigan State University.
Photo by Chris Welch / The Verge

Other devices, like over-the-counter hearing aids, have even thinner margins and are therefore, much more vulnerable.

ā€œMost hearing aids are manufactured in Europe or Asia, and many are assembled in countries like China, ā€ says Blake Cadwell, CEO of Soundly, an online retailer that sells over-the-counter hearing aids. Cadwell says manufacturers and brands heā€™s spoken to are anticipating as much as a 25 to 50 percent increase in costs. Those kinds of increases, Cadwell says, could have a lasting impact on consumers.

The slightly less-bad news is that consumers likely wonā€™t see any price increases right away. Thatā€™s because some device makers have increased inventory in anticipation of tariffs hitting. Miller says in the past few months, computer imports were over 70 percent higher than 2023, while cell phone imports in February 2025 were the highest since 2022. Cadwell also says Soundly is working to build reserves and that based on current inventory levels, itā€™s likely price increases wonā€™t hit the market until fall. However, thatā€™s not a guarantee that this is true for every single device maker and every gadget category.

ā€œIf youā€™re looking at a laptop thatā€™s assembled in China, and youā€™re wondering whether to buy now or wait until the fall, I would buy now.ā€

ā€Vendors/channels have been stretching existing inventory as much as they can to avoid price increases, but close deadlines announced yesterday for tariff increases significantly ramp up the pressure. Iā€™d be surprised if even the best positioned brands in terms of inventory are able to stretch two to three weeks beyond the new tariff deadlines,ā€ says Reith.

In other words, if you currently have an aging piece of tech that needs replacing, it may be a good idea to do it before inventory runs out.

ā€œIf youā€™re looking at a laptop thatā€™s assembled in China, and youā€™re wondering whether to buy now or wait until the fall, I would buy now,ā€ says Miller.

As for whether these tariffs could potentially encourage Big Tech to restart domestic manufacturing, itā€™s highly unlikely. Even with these tariffs in place, itā€™s still cheaper for these companies to manufacture devices like smartphones, laptops, and wearables overseas. And even if they did want to move some industry back home, that wouldnā€™t be possible overnight. The U.S. has lost a lot of its manufacturing capacity, particularly for consumer electronics, in the last few decades.

Simon Ellis, group vice president at IDC, notes that the firm hasnā€™t seen reshoring as a high priority in recent supply chain surveys. ā€œItā€™s also important to remember that ā€˜made in Americaā€™ has almost always meant ā€˜assembled in Americaā€™ with parts coming from all over the world,ā€ he says, while acknowledging itā€™s possible that a growing number of companies may assess a return even though the cost, uncertainty, and time required are huge hurdles.

Miller is a bit more blunt.

ā€œThese tariffs in no way would encourage domestic production of the types of devices that weā€™re talking about.ā€


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