Bowen: Zelensky buoyant, but Europe will struggle to guarantee Ukraine's security

Importance Score: 82 / 100 🟢

Zelensky Hails European Unity Amidst Concerns Over US Reliability

During a recent visit to Paris, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed optimism about European cooperation and its potential to bolster Ukraine’s defenses, even as doubts linger over the steadfastness of the United States under its current leadership. In an exclusive interview conducted in Paris with a panel of European journalists, Zelensky conveyed a buoyant demeanor, having paused a meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron at the Élysée Palace. He later rejoined Macron for a private dinner, underscoring the strong ties between France and Ukraine.

A Warm Reception in Paris

The French capital extended an effusive welcome to President Zelensky. The Eiffel Tower, prominently visible from the interview location in a Parisian museum, was illuminated in the blue and yellow of the Ukrainian flag. This symbolic gesture reinforced the message that France stands firmly with Ukraine.

Building a ‘Coalition of the Willing’ for Ukraine Security

President Zelensky’s trip to Paris was strategically timed to coincide with meetings of leaders and diplomats from 30 nations. These countries are collaborating to determine their contributions to a proposed “coalition of the willing.” This initiative, championed by UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and President Macron, aims to provide Ukraine with long-term security assurances in the event of a sustained ceasefire.

Contrast with US Reception Under Trump

The amiable reception in Paris stood in stark contrast to the reportedly critical encounter Zelensky experienced during his previous visit to the White House. He faced what some described as a harsh dressing down from then US President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance.

US Aid Suspension and Subsequent Reversal

Following this contentious exchange, President Zelensky reportedly faced an abrupt dismissal from the White House. Shortly thereafter, Trump allegedly initiated a hold on American military assistance and intelligence sharing with Ukraine. This suspension was later reversed. It was reinstated, according to sources, after Zelensky, guided by advisors from Britain, France, and other European allies, made concerted efforts to repair relations with Trump and his administration.

Shifting Tactics to Restore US Support

To mend the rift, Zelensky reportedly adopted a more solicitous tone towards Trump. He purportedly acquiesced to an American proposal for a 30-day unconditional ceasefire and seemingly set aside his prior insistence on US security guarantees as a precondition for any truce.

Lingering Unease Despite Restored Aid

Despite the resumption of US military and intelligence support, the prior suspension, perceived to have had lethal consequences for Ukrainians, has generated profound apprehension in Ukraine and among its European partners. Many now question the reliability of the US as a consistent ally, especially under its current leadership. There is growing concern about potential scenarios where the US might not act as an ally at all.

Europe Seeks to Reduce Reliance on US

While most European leaders publicly maintain the appearance of a robust transatlantic alliance, the gathering of 30 nations in Paris signals a growing recognition that Europe can no longer solely depend on the perceived benevolence of the United States. Concerns about European nations benefiting disproportionately from US security provisions are not new. Echoing sentiments voiced by American presidents since Dwight D. Eisenhower, Trump has seemingly acted to curtail this perceived imbalance.

Europe Demonstrates ‘Discipline and Stability’

During the interview, President Zelensky commended the various defense initiatives underway in Western Europe, particularly those led by the UK, France and Germany, aimed at increasing military expenditure.

Europe’s Growing Defence Capabilities

He ventured that within three to five years, “if current trends persist,” Europe could potentially rival the United States in terms of defense capabilities. While characterized as highly optimistic and perhaps more of a goodwill gesture than a precise prediction, this statement underscored Zelensky’s appreciation for European allies. Unlike the US, these allies are perceived to attach fewer conditions to their support for Ukraine.

Implicit Criticism of US ‘Chaos’

President Zelensky lauded Europe’s “discipline and stability,” a remark interpreted by some as a thinly veiled critique of the perceived volatility emanating from the Trump White House, particularly in comparison to European resolve.

Russian Conditions for Ceasefire

President Zelensky addressed queries regarding the conditions set by Russian President Vladimir Putin for a proposed maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea, a component of the Trump administration’s peace efforts. Following separate discussions between Ukrainian and Russian delegations with US representatives in Saudi Arabia, the Kremlin issued a statement outlining preconditions for any ceasefire agreement.

Key Russian Demands

The most prominent condition was the reinstatement of a Russian state-owned bank to the SWIFT international payments system. This measure would effectively restore Russia’s access to mainstream global commerce. However, the decision regarding SWIFT access rests not with the US, but with Belgium-based Swift and the European Union.

EU Response Emphasizes Russian Withdrawal

The European Union’s foreign affairs spokesperson issued a statement asserting that a primary condition for any modification of sanctions against Russia remained “the cessation of Russia’s unprovoked and unjustified aggression in Ukraine and the complete withdrawal of all Russian military forces from Ukrainian territory.”

Trump’s Perspective on Negotiations

Even Trump, often hesitant to criticize Putin, suggested Russia might be “delaying” progress in negotiations with the US. He reportedly likened it to tactics he employed in his business career, stating to Newsmax, “I’ve done it over the years… I don’t want to sign a contract. I want to sort of stay in the game.”

Zelensky Urges Resolve on Ceasefire Terms

President Zelensky implored the US to maintain a firm stance against Russian preconditions for a ceasefire. “If America is going to stand strong and not bend to the conditions of the Russians – we stand on our land,” he asserted.

Plea for Partner Resilience

“We are defending it; we have demonstrated our resilience to everyone… And now it’s crucial that our partners exhibit resilience and strength, at least to the same degree that we are,” Zelensky emphasized.

Hopes and Doubts Regarding US Resolve

When questioned about his confidence in continued American resolve, Zelensky responded, “I hope so. I hope so. God bless they will. But we’ll see.”

Strategic Imperative to Engage with Trump

President Zelensky acknowledged the necessity of maintaining a working relationship with the Trump administration, despite potential reservations. Trump’s earlier decision to suspend intelligence sharing regarding Russian missile launches had dire consequences, compelling Zelensky to exert significant effort to reverse the decision and avoid a recurrence.

Justification for Engagement Despite Concerns

He openly addressed the reasons for his attempts to remain aligned with Trump, even as the US president appeared to prioritize improved relations with Moscow and echoed Russian narratives, including the false claim that Ukraine initiated the conflict. “We needed to unlock the aid from the US. For us, the exchange of intelligence is very important,” Zelensky explained.

Zelensky Rejects Pro-Moscow ‘Narratives’

President Zelensky directly refuted comments from Steve Witkoff, a Trump-appointed special envoy involved in Middle East affairs and the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Witkoff, a real estate magnate turned diplomat, had recently criticized the UK-France initiative to create a “coalition of the willing” to support Ukraine during an interview with right-wing podcaster Tucker Carlson.

Criticism of European Support as ‘Simplistic’

Witkoff dismissed the European effort as mere posturing, characterizing it as “a simplistic desire” to emulate Winston Churchill. His remarks reinforced a prevailing sentiment within the Trump administration that European allies represent a parasitic burden on the United States.

Challenging the ‘Parasitic Burden’ Narrative

Disregarding the accusatory tone, analysts note that for decades Europe’s wealthiest nations have prioritized domestic spending over military investment. Zelensky countered Witkoff’s assertions, claiming that Witkoff and others within the Trump administration had succumbed to Russian propaganda.

Accusation of Echoing Kremlin Propaganda

“I believe that Witkoff frequently repeats Kremlin talking points… While I am grateful to the American people for their extensive support, it is often the case, unfortunately, that they are influenced by Russian narratives. And we cannot endorse these narratives,” stated Zelensky.

Sarcasm Regarding Witkoff’s Expertise

President Zelensky subtly suggested that Witkoff’s expertise lay elsewhere, namely in real estate development. “He does not appear to be a military expert or a general, nor does he possess such experience. From what I understand, he excels at real estate transactions. And diplomacy, in this context, is somewhat different,” Zelensky added with a hint of irony.

Ukraine Committed for the ‘Long Haul’

Despite facing immense pressure throughout the prolonged Russian invasion, President Zelensky appeared notably optimistic. He was visibly encouraged by the reception in Paris and the ongoing efforts by President Macron and Prime Minister Starmer to mobilize European support and to persuade Trump to maintain intelligence and military aid to Ukraine.

New Strategy of Temporary Ceasefires

President Zelensky seemed content with a revised strategy of agreeing to temporary ceasefires, intending to expose Putin’s unwillingness to de-escalate the conflict.

Personal Motivation and Legacy

When asked about how he manages the immense pressure, Zelensky explained that his primary aspiration is for his children “to be able to walk down the street without fear.” Questioned about his legacy – whether he would be remembered as the savior of Ukraine or as someone who tried and failed – Zelensky offered a grimace and a pointed comparison. He suggested his legacy would be considerably better than Putin’s, depicting the Russian leader as aging, fearful of his own populace, and nearing his end.

Putin’s Perceived Fear of mortality

“He will die soon. It is a fact. His reign could end before he concludes his historically insignificant and unsuccessful life. This is what he fears,” Zelensky stated, followed by a laugh.

Zelensky Affirms Resolve and Youth

“And I will exert every effort to defend Ukraine to the best of my ability. And I am certainly younger than Putin,” Zelensky concluded.

Divergent Timelines: Trump’s Easter Deadline vs. Zelensky’s Long-Term View

While Trump may be aiming for a resolution by Easter, President Zelensky remains focused on the long-term implications of the conflict and Ukraine’s enduring defense.


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