Midterm elections Florida polls 2018: Who will win in Florida?

Midterm elections this year will determine the entire composition of the House of representatives, and a third of the Senate. 

With a total of 470 spaces in Congress altogether up for grabs, the result will see either a stranglehold on Mr Trump’s power, or a solidifcation of Republican rule. 

Ultimately, this year could result in a House ‘flip’ where Democrats are able to wrest majority control, and polls are so far backing this as a possibility. 

Florida is one of the many states where the results for every available position is close, and Democrats are pulling out all the stops to net an advantage from incumbent Republicans. 

Who will win in Florida? 

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Recent years have seen Florida leaning Democrat when it comes to the Senate. 

However this year, the incumbent Senator Bill Nelson is facing stiff opposition from former Governor Rick Scott. 

Despite apprehension over the Senator, pollsters FiveThirtyEight, who compile data from a selection of polls, put Mr Nelson with a 71 percent chance of keeping his seat. 

Florida is generally found to be much less Republican leaning according to the site, which could mean Mr Nelson is able to retain his seat in the Senate chamber. 

In the last 2016 general elections, which saw Mr Trump take office, Florida was known as a ‘swing state’.

This means the state could be tempted into eiether a Republican or Democrat majority, and thus could ‘swing’ either way. 

This has been reflected in 2018, with FivethirtyEight reporting 11 of 27 seats leaning Democrat and 11 Republican, with the rest undecided. 

Florida’s status as a swing state is apparently indicative of the composition of much of the US, as many people from around the country settle in the area.

Ultimately this means people of many different political leanings are voting this year. 

The most important race in Florida is the one for Governor however, as Rick Scott gave up his position to run for Senate this year. 

Conservative and Donald Trump supporter Ron DeSantis is hoping to keep the governorship Republican, be he is receiving harsh competition from Democrat Andrew Gillum.

At the moment, Mr Gillum is tipped to win by a 77 percent margin, over Mr DeSantis’ 22 percent. 

The governor elections are a good testing ground for Florida’s future, as a choice to elect Mr Gillium as governor would be a support of Medicaid expansion. 

He is also a supporter of Donald Trump’s impeachment, and with a Democrat majority this could become a possibility. 

Florida is the third most populous state in the US, with 20,992,000 inhabitants. 

Steven Schale, strategist for Barack Obama’s 2008 Florida campaign talked to CNBC about political attitudes in the state.

He said: “Florida tends to be reflective of the country in the sense that Florida is largely a collection of people from around the country.

“The results you see here look a lot like what you in the areas where people come from.”


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