Spoiler alert: Here’s what happens when indicted officials like Rep. Collins run again

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In vowing to remain on the ballot for his re-election race this fall — despite facing insider trading charges — New York Republican Rep. Chris Collins joins a not-so-exclusive club of lawmakers who have refused to resign even after being indicted.

Unfortunately for Collins, members of that club almost always meet an unhappy fate.

Most lawmakers in a similar situation initially vowed to fight, but wound up quickly caving in to bad press and resigning. A handful managed to win re-election only to have to give up the seat later after being convicted.

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But there is also a select group who dug in, fought the charges, and despite months or years of terrible optics, emerged on the other side in good shape, legally and electorally.

The insistence on sticking around comes down to the bedrock of the American legal system.

“You’re innocent until proven guilty,” James Gardner, a professor of election and constitutional law at the University at Buffalo School of Law, told NBC News. “Doesn’t matter if you’re under an enormous cloud of suspicion or whether you’ve deceived shareholders and the American public to personally profit.”

There is no federal or state law that bars someone from appearing on a ballot because they have been indicted on criminal charges. Candidates in most states can even seek election if they are convicted, creating little incentive to quit, especially if the seat is, like Collins’, considered a sure bet for reelection.

“You expect people to do the right thing, to resign. In many cases it could, and should, be that simple,” said Gardner. “Politics isn’t simple.”

History contains plenty of examples where things didn’t go well.

Jim Traficant

Image: James Traficant
Rep. James Traficant, D-Ohio, testifies before the House Ethics Committee on July 17, 2002.Tom Williams / CQ-Roll Call – Getty Images

The former Ohio Democratic congressman was indicted in 2001 on bribery, conspiracy and tax evasion charges. Traficant vowed to not resign and to fight the charges, even representing himself during his trial.

After he was convicted on 10 felony counts in April 2002, Traficant still would not resign. He filed the next month to run for re-election as an independent in his Youngstown-area district.

Months later, the House Ethics Committee recommend his expulsion from Congress, and the House voted to expel him.

Traficant was sentenced to seven years in prison, but maintained his candidacy as an independent, and got 15 percent of the vote.

Chaka Fattah

Image: Chaka Fattah
U.S. Rep. Chaka Fattah, D-Pa., speaks during a Democratic National Committee event in Philadelphia on June 30, 2011.Matt Rourke / AP file

In July 2015, Fattah, then a Democratic congressman from Pennsylvania, was indicted on federal racketeering charges. While recusing himself from his leadership post on the House Appropriations Committee, Fattah vowed to not resign his congressional seat and ran for re-election.

He lost the Democratic primary for his seat in April 2016 but still didn’t quit, and held on all the way through his trial in June 2016. Only after being found guilty on all charges, did he finally resign from Congress. He was sentenced to 10 years in prison.

Michael Grimm

Image: U.S. Representative Michael Grimm of New York reacts ahead of a news conference following his guilty plea at the Brooklyn federal court in New York
U.S. Representative Michael Grimm of New York reacts ahead of a news conference following his guilty plea at the Brooklyn federal court in New York Dec. 23, 2014. Grimm entered a guilty plea on to a federal felony tax charge. STEPHANIE KEITH / Reuters

In April 2014, the New York Republican congressman was indicted on fraud charges, pleaded not guilty, vowed to fight the charges and ran for re-election.

Grimm won, but weeks later pleaded guilty to tax evasion. He then refused to accept the seat that he’d won, resigning from Congress in January 2015. He was sentenced to eight months in prison, and then ran for his old seat earlier this year, but lost in the GOP primary.

Jefferson, Stevens, Rostenkowski

Image: William Jefferson
United States congressman William Jefferson (D-New Orleans) speaks during an election night victory party after defeating Karen Carter in a runoff in New Orleans, Louisiana on Dec. 9, 2006.Lee Celano / Reuters file

Louisiana Democratic Rep. William Jefferson was indicted on federal bribery charges in 2007, ran for re-election, got through the primary and then lost the general election, before being found guilty on several charges in 2009. Alaska Republican Sen. Ted Stevens was indicted on, and found guilty of, felony corruption charges in 2008, but he refused to resign and lost his re-election bid, although his conviction was later voided). Illinois Democratic Rep. Dan Rostenkowski was indicted in 1994 on corruption charges, ran for re-election, and lost.

Bob Menendez

Image: Bob Menendez
New Jersey Sen. Bob Menendez greets people at a ribbon cutting ceremony at Essex County Donald M. Payne, Sr. School of Technology in Newark, New Jersey on June 4, 2018.Seth Wenig / AP file

And then there’s New Jersey Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez, whose story is the kind that Collins’ is almost certainly praying for.

Menendez was indicted in 2015 on federal corruption charges and went on trial in 2017, vowing throughout not to resign his seat. He wouldn’t even say publicly whether he would leave if convicted.

Menendez never had to make that decision.

In January, his trial ended in a mistrial after jurors couldn’t reach a unanimous verdict. In March, with the charges behind him for good, he formally announced his re-election campaign. Despite all the drama, his prospects of victory are strong: He leads his Republican challenger in polls by an average of nine points.