Stamp duty cut gave the housing market a sugar rush – now for the slump, says HELEN CRANE

Importance Score: 72 / 100 🔴

The **real estate** marketplace experienced intense activity in March, as purchasers hurried to conclude transactions before stamp duty rates increased on April 1.

Latest figures now provide insight into the sheer volume of buyers who managed to complete their purchases before the deadline.

Property Sales Surge

HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) reports that the number of property exchanges more than doubled, seeing a 104% year-on-year increase.

This is a remarkable surge. However, industry experts anticipate a subsequent slowdown, as consumer demand diminishes and fewer buyers look to **procure** properties.

Signs of this impending decline are already present, with Nationwide reporting a 0.6% drop in house prices in April.

Historical Trends in Stamp Duty Incentives

Previous stamp duty holidays resulted in similar surges in property transactions, followed by sharp declines once the incentives were removed. These patterns were observed in March, June, and September 2021, as the government phased out temporary stamp duty cuts.

Addressing Stamp Duty Concerns

Few taxes are widely favored, but several arguments against elevated stamp duty rates are valid:

Encouraging Housing Mobility

Promoting mobility: individuals should be motivated to relocate when necessary. This benefits the economy, as **homebuilders** construct additional properties, confident in their marketability. Various businesses, from decorators to furniture retailers and packaging suppliers, also gain from increased **domestic moves**.

Expenditure on stamp duty may seem modest, but in a market where housing is expensive and budgets are tight, tax reductions can be decisive.

This is particularly pertinent for **first-time buyers**, who struggle to gather a deposit, a challenge exacerbated by increasing **mortgage** rates.

Impact on Different Buyer Groups

**Higher mortgage cost:** While first-time buyers are exempt if the home is valued below £300,000, average house prices are nearing this threshold.

Additionally, more buyers are purchasing properties later in life to accommodate family needs directly – potentially incurring stamp duty.

Eliminating stamp duty for first-time buyers could align with government goals of boosting homeownership.

Conversely, the tax may deter downsizers, who play a crucial role in freeing up larger homes for growing families.

Political Considerations

Stamp duty faces potential abolition due to political resistance. The tax favors affluent city residents, with Londoners accounting for 39% of all stamp duty payments in 2023-24.

However, the tax has **ensnared** more modest homeowners due to rising property values and unchanged stamp duty thresholds since 2014.

The financial burden on buyers has increased significantly: a decade ago, purchasing an average-priced home incurred £1,380 in stamp duty, compared to £3,537 today – a 156% increase.

Moreover, the UK imposes some of the highest stamp duty rates worldwide. Buyers face between 5% and 12% on various property value brackets, compared to fixed rates in other countries or none at all, as in the US.

Critics argue that stamp duty, paid by the buyer based on the property value, effectively taxes the previous owner’s gains and not the buyers. Many find this aspect troubling.

The Financial Implications of Stamp Duty Reforms

Stamp duty remains crucial to the government’s revenue stream. In the 2023-24 fiscal year, the Treasury collected £14.8 billion from stamp taxes.

These figures are projected to rise to £18.3 billion in 2024-25, driven by the end-of-period rush and increased rates for **investment** properties and second homes. This surpasses the £15.6 billion collected in the 2018-19 fiscal year, highlighting the **tax’s** resilience amid market fluctuations.

Yet, comparisons are complex due to various influencing factors. Future stamp duty revenues are expected to grow, with estimations suggesting £26.5 billion by 2029-30, driven by increased housing supply and property values.

Lowering stamp duty rates could potentially generate more revenue through heightened transaction volumes and thereby offset the loss per individual sale.

Reducing rates could invigorate the housing market, alleviate temporary **incentive**-driven booms, and encourage more sustainable long-term growth.

Revoke stamp duty fluctuations: **millions** seek stability**.

Quick Links

  • Stamp duty calculator: How much would you pay to move home?
  • Best mortgage rates and how to find them

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