US Midterm Elections: First polls close as exit polls show economy is top concern to THIRD of voters

Democrats held on to a series of bellweather House races on Tuesday night, delaying a Republican victory party, as several key Senate races remain to close to call.

Talk of a Republican red wave was chilled as Democrats hung on to competitive contests in Virginia, Rhode Island and New Jersey.

‘Definitely not a Republican wave, that’s for darn sure,’ GOP Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina told NBC News. 

And Republican Senator Ted Cruz of Texas said: ‘It hasn’t been as big of a wave as I’d hoped it would be. We’ve had some close races go the other way so far.’ 

Republicans did pickup three House seats thus far. The GOP only a net gain of five House seats to win the majority, which remains within their grasp. Many competitive districts have yet to be called.

Meanwhile, Republican candidate J.D. Vance, who was endorsed by Donald Trump, won Ohio’s Senate seat against Democrat Tim Ryan. His victory kept the Senate in the GOP column. 

But Democrats were heartened when they held onto two out of three Virginia House seats that were heavily targeted by Republicans: Democrats Abigail Spanberger and Jennifer Wexton won their races while Democrat Elaine Luria fell to her GOP competition.

In another good sign for Democrats, their candidate Seth Magaziner won in a Rhode Island House seat that was heavily contested by both parties. And Democratic Rep. Andy Kim hung on in New Jersey in what was seen as a close race.

President Joe Biden made a series of congratulatory calls to Democrats on Tuesday night, including Democratic Senator Michael Bennet of Colorado, who was in a tough than expected re-election campaign.

Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire also won after facing a tough competition. And Republican Ted Budd won retiring Sen. Richard Burr’s Senate seat in North Carolina, keeping it in GOP hands. 

But other key Senate races in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Wisconsin are too close to call.

In other election news:

• Republicans took a few important early wins with Gov. Ron DeSantis and Senator Marco Rubio racking up victories in Florida 
• Democrat Wes Moore will be the first black governor of Maryland 
• Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders won Arkansas’ governor race 
• Texas’ Republican Gov. Greg Abbott held off a challenge from Democat Beto O’Rouke 
• In Georgia’s governor’s race, Stacey Abrams called Republican Gov. Brian Kemp to concede
• Massachusetts Governor-elect Maura Healey is the first open lesbian to be elected governor in the nation

Biden’s calls included  Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, who won a fifth term and became the longest serving Democratic senator in New York. 

The White House released a photo of Biden on the phone, dressed casually in gray sweatshirt and baseball cap, cell phone in hand. 

And the president spoke with Massachusetts Governor-elect Maura Healey, the first open lesbian to be elected governor; Rhode Island Governor Dan McKee; Senator-elect Peter Welch, Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester; Senator Chris Van Hollen; Colorado Governor Jared Polis; Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker; Senator Tammy Duckworth, Senator Richard Blumenthal, and Pennsylvania Governor-elect Josh Shapiro, according to the White House.

He also called Senator Maggie Hassan, Senator Alex Padilla, Representative-elect Seth Magaziner, Maine Governor Janet Mills, and Washington, D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser.

Meanwhile, Republicans have picked up a few House victories. 

In Florida’s seventh district, GOP candidate Cory Mills won the race to replace retiring Democratic Representative Stephanie Murphy. But the district was heavily gerrymandered by Republicans during the redistricting process, making it a hard seat for Democrats to keep in their column. 

And in Florida’s 13th district, Republican Anna Paulina Luna won the seat Democrat Charlie Crist left for his unsuccessful gubernatorial run. 

Democrats retained several Senate seats: Peter Welch in Vermont, Richard Blumenthal in Connecticut, Tammy Duckworth in Florida, and Chris Van Hollen in Maryland.

And Republicans kept several in their column with Tim Scott’s victory in South Carolina, Chuck Grassley in Iowa, John Thune in South Dakota, John Kennedy in Louisiana, Rand Paul in Kentucky, Jerry Moran in Kansas, John Boozman in Arkansas, Todd Young in Indiana, Markwayne Mullin’s in Oklahoma, and Katie Britt’s in Alabama. Britt is the first female elected to the Senate from Alabama.

Republicans took a few important early wins in Tuesday night’s midterm election with Gov. Ron DeSantis and Senator Marco Rubio racking up victories in Florida. 

The DeSantis and Rubio wins in the Sunshine state cemented Republicans’ grip there. Donald Trump has made it his new home state and is spending election night at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach.

DeSantis’ win sets up an intriguing dynamic for the next two years. He’s rumored to be considering at 2024 bid. Trump, who helped DeSantis win his first gubernatorial race, will announce his White House intentions next week.

Trump held a campaign rally with Rubio in Miami on Sunday while DeSantis held a competiting rally in another part of the state. Still, the former president said he voted for DeSantis when he cast his ballot in Palm Beach on Tuesday morning.

DeSantis defeated Democrat Charlie Crist, who had previously served the state as a GOP governor before he switched parties. Crist campaigned with President Joe Biden last week but that couldn’t help him across the victory line. 

In another governor’s race, Democrat Wes Moore won the gubernatorial race in Maryland. He will be the first black governor in that state. President Biden and first lady Jill Biden campaigned for him on Monday night – their final rally of the 2022 midterm election.

In Arkansas, Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders won the gubernatorial mansion. Her father also served as governor of the state. Huckabee Sanders became a national figure when she served as White House press secretary for President Donald Trump. 

And, in Texas, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott won a second term, beating Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke. 

In Georgia, Democrat Stacey Abrams called Republican Gov. Brian Kemp concede. Kemp held off a second challenge from Abrams – whom he defeated four years ago – and the fury of Donald Trump to win a second term. 

Voters said inflation was their top concern this election year, exit polls found, followed closely by abortion.

As the first polls close across the nation, about 33% of voters called inflation the most important issue as they cast their ballot, according to the exit polls of voters conducted by the television networks, with about 27% citing abortion. 

Other voters cited crime, gun policy and immigration as their chief concerns. 

In troubling signs for President Joe Biden, three-quarters of the electorate that voted Tuesday felt negative about the economy and more than three-quarters said that inflation has caused hardship for them and their family over the past year, the exit polls found.

They gave the president a 45% approval rating for his time in the Oval Office, citing their unhappiness with the economy. 

Biden’s low numbers had many Democrats – particularly those in close contests – holding the president at arms’ length as they tried to disassociate their candidacy with his track record.

The exit polls found that about half of voters said that Biden was not a factor in their vote, while about 18% said their vote was to express support for Biden, and about one-third that it was to express opposition to him. 

Several House districts in Indiana and Kentucky had polls close at 6 pm ET but the more competitive races of the night – the ones that will make or break Democrats’ majority in the House and Senate – close later in the evening.

The midterms arrive at a volatile point in America. 

The country is finally emerging from the COVID pandemic but facing an economic downturn, abortion rights are in danger in many states after the Supreme Court struck down Roe v. Wade, and there are threats of violence and intimidation at the polls in this first election since the January 6th insurrection.

All 435 seats in the House and one-third of the Senate, along with several governor races, are being decided on Tuesday. Results could take several days to process as votes are counted. Many Senate and governors races were polling within the maring of error. 

Many will see Tuesday’s results a message voters are sending about President Biden’s first two years in the Oval Office. 

In the days leading up to Election Day, Biden stuck mainly to blue areas of the country, trying to get Democrats to come out for the party. 

He spent Tuesday behind-closed-doors at the White House. He called into a morning radio show and did thank you calls to Democratic officials. 

With election forecasters predicting a Republican win in the House, eyes are turning to the 2024 presidential contest. 

Even the contenders are talking about the next presidential election. Biden has indicated he will run again and Donald Trump is promising a ‘very big’ announcement about his future on Nov. 15.

Trump and wife Melania voted in Palm Beach, Fla., on Tuesday morning. 

But Democrats are already looking at Biden alternatives, including pitching their picks, as the president faces low approval ratings and questions about his age. 

The last two years of Biden’s final term will be shaped by what happens on Tuesday night.

‘If Biden can hold on to a Democratic Senate, then he’ll be in the catbird seat to run for reelection,’ Douglas Brinkley, a presidential historian at Rice University, told The Washington Post. ‘Now, if it’s a red wave and the Republicans win the Congress and Senate, there’s going to be a drumroll for Biden to not be the party’s nominee.’  

If Republicans take only one chamber of the Congress – and they are predicted to take the House – they can tie up his presidency in investigations and legislative roadblocks going into the 2024 campaign.   

Republicans are already eying rolling back portions of the Inflation Reduction Act, including its new, higher taxes on corporations and some of its climate initiatives, if they win on Tuesday.

They would, however, also need control of the Senate. Biden also still has his presidential veto pen.

One area Republicans can have autonomy is in investigations. 

Republicans in the House are getting ready to target the administration on a range of issues: from the business dealings of Biden’s son, Hunter; to what Republicans call political interference by the FBI and Justice Department; to the origins of the COVID pandemic; and the situation at the Southern border.

Jim Messina, who ran Barack Obama’s re-election campaign in 2012, said a Republican Congress could actually help Biden win a second term.

‘None of this is Joe Biden’s doing, and doesn’t materially affect his re-election,’ he told NBC News. ‘After taking over, these guys are going to overstep. They’re going to give the president opportunities to draw stark contrasts.’ 

Most presidents see their party lose seats in power during the midterm election.

Barack Obama famously called the 2010 midterm a ‘shellacking’ after Republicans won 63 House seats during the first midterm election of his presidency.