While back-to-back-to-back systems for the region seem a bit like a broken record lately, the phenomenon is truly significant.
Rivers in the sky have led to landslides blocking roads, rivers inundating towns, and in one case, returning an old lake bed back into a lake.
British Columbia typically sees atmospheric river events in the month of November, just as the Pacific Northwest does. The problem for both regions this year has been the consistency of the systems, with no breaks for drying in between.
“The first atmospheric river event hit us hard on November 13 to 16, and it dumped a lot, 150-300 mm (roughly 6-11 inches), of precipitation in less than 48 hours,” Johnson Zhong, a meteorologist for Environment Canada said.
There has also been rain on top of fresh snow, which has exacerbated flooding.
“There was up to 30-50 cm (1-1.5 feet) of fresh snow at 1500-2500 meters (5,000-8,000 feet) high,” he observed. “One of our atmospheric river events rained much higher than 2500 meters, so that rain melted the snow and helped create the flooding.”
One of the areas seeing the greatest amount of flooding was the Sumas area, about 50 miles east of Vancouver.
“One hundred years ago there was a Sumas lake. Then they pumped the water out to make good farmland. It has been farmland for the last 100 years, and now it’s a lake again,” Zhong explained.
He added more than half of the egg and dairy supply for Vancouver come from that farmland, which has hit the region exceptionally hard.
The unprecedented amount of rain has created major flooding, washing out bridges and roads, completely cutting off many other small Canadian towns to the rest of the world.
Merritt, BC is one of those towns.
“Merritt is a town of 7,000 people and is totally flooded,” Zhong said. “That town is in an area that doesn’t get a lot of rain. But with the combination of rain and snowmelt, the entire town flooded. The water and sewage system went down, and the entire town had to be evacuated.”
British Columbia has suffered a great deal since the summer months.
Fresh burn scars from the wildfires are also making the flooding and mudslide potential worse, Zhong pointed out.
Mudslides and landslides are a major concern for both British Columbia and Washington.
“Persistent rainfall over the last few weeks has dramatically increased soil moisture to high levels across western Washington,” the National Weather Service (NWS) office in Seattle reported. “Heavy rainfall of an additional 1 to 3 inches in the mountains and up to 1.5 inches in the lowlands has fallen over the last 24 hours. Therefore, the increased threat of landslides will continue through today despite the heaviest rainfall coming to an end.”
In the Seattle area, which is soaked as well, they hope all the rain doesn’t come at once.
Seattle is experiencing its wettest fall on record. The Seattle-Tacoma airport has recorded 18.91 inches of rain for September through November, and more is on the way.
By Tuesday, the month could end as one of the top wettest Novembers on record. With an additional 2 to 3 inches of rain expected to fall, more flooding is Inevitable.
“The big factor that will affect the scope of expected impacts will be how much of a break we receive in areas where river flooding continues today,” the NWS in Seattle emphasized.
The Nooksack and Skagit Rivers, north of Seattle, are still rising and have yet to crest, so more rainfall on top of already rising rivers could create major flooding issues for nearby towns.
“It remains unclear how rivers in these areas will respond to additional rainfall over the next 2 days,” NWS Seattle added.
Climate Impact on atmospheric rivers
Marty Ralph, director of the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego, said the climate crisis may be intensifying atmospheric rivers in the West.
“Warmer atmospheric temperatures, in general, will mean the freezing levels are higher than they’ve been in the past,” Ralph told CNN. “But while storms vary, even without climate change and some can be extra warm, just by natural situation, it’s clear the background warming should increase the [freezing] levels.”
Ralph explained a higher freezing level, the altitude at which rain transitions to snow, can be dangerous with a wet landscape and full rivers.
“This makes for extra potential potency to the impact,” he said. “The rivers are already high again, so this one’s going to pack a wallop.”
Warmer air can also hold more water vapor, which fuels atmospheric rivers. Ralph noted as the atmosphere gets warmer due to climate change, the intensity of storms will likely increase and become more hazardous.
“As a scientist, my role is to help raise awareness that the situation is looking to be like a strong to extreme [atmospheric river], and the implications of that are for additional heavy rain and — given the situation on land — flooding,” he said. “People should really look to their normal weather information provider for hazardous situations for specific guidance on what to do, because it seems to me that this is a pretty serious situation.”
Hurricane Season Wrap-up
The last day of the Atlantic hurricane season is tomorrow, and it was one for the record books.
With 21 named storms, it was only the third year the seasonal rotating list of names was exhausted.
A new supplemental list of hurricane names was enacted, never-before-seen footage of a major hurricane was recorded from ocean level, and billions of dollars in damage was left behind.
Lake effect snow
Another lake-effect snow event will impact portions of the Great Lakes this week.
With the lakes’ freeze percentage less than 2%, the lake-effect snow machine is officially “on.”
Most of the areas receiving snow won’t see very high totals. Most of the snow this week will stay under three inches.
However, in parts of Michigan, it could create a few problems for travel. The NWS office in Grand Rapids has issued a winter weather advisory, with heavy snow expected during the evening commute. Up to three inches of snow could fall in less than four hours.
“Impacts to roads may be small at first given temperatures initially above freezing, but we should start to see some slick roads developing after dark,” stated the NWS office in Grand Rapids.
The snow should wrap up by Tuesday, with drier conditions to follow for the next several days.
California fire threat remains
An elevated fire threat remains for much of southern California through most of the week.
Winds around the Los Angeles area will gust up to 45 mph at times and humidity levels are between 5-15%. The dry, warm conditions will enhance fire risk through the week.
“Fast fire growth is possible if a fire starts. Use extreme caution with potential fire ignition sources and be prepared to evacuate quickly if a wildfire develops nearby,” urged the NWS office in Los Angeles.
While the wind threat this week isn’t nearly is intense as last week, the fire threat still remains and fires could easily ignite.
Real vs fake Christmas trees
As the holidays get into full swing and millions of people are pulling out the Christmas lights, treasured ornaments and picking out the perfect Christmas tree. Are you someone who prefers a real tree or a fake one? Is it better to cut down a fresh tree every year or buy a plastic one from the store that will be used for years to come?
Cheers! The highest elevation pub in England has kept the pints pouring and customers fed, after dozens of travelers were left stranded for several days. A major winter storm brought 90 mph winds and snow drifts that trapped the customers at the pub. To some, it may have felt like a dream come true. The pub has kept the temporary residents well-fed, and no one has gone thirsty as the beer continues to flow.
CNN meteorologist Haley Brink and Rachel Ramirez contributed to this weather column.