India v Pakistan war is more likely than India China – expert warns

Relations between the bordering nations has become increasingly strained over recent months following ongoing border clashes between all three. Each country has deployed more military as tensions reach boiling point.

Back in July, New Delhi and Beijing engaged in the first bloody altercation in 45 years.

At least 20 Indian soldiers were killed in the Galwan Valley conflict and up to 35 Chinese military men died including one senior officer.

It is believed both sides agreed to disarm but a physical confrontation erupted and all the casualties were from the use of batons, knives and falls from the steep land.

On the other side, India faces ongoing border disputes with Pakistan, with both countries firing shots at each other across the Kashmir border.

As tensions continue to grow, civilians in the Kashmir region are paying the price of the conflict.

It is believed around 24 civilians have been killed and more than 100 injured in more than 2,730 violations.

But now, Daniel Markey, a senior research professor in international relations at John Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, has warned war between India and Pakistan is more likely than an outbreak with China.

Speaking to Express.co.uk, Mr Markey said: “India/Pakistan are ready for war whereas the India/China conflict include reportedly bats covered with wires and other crude weaponry.

READ MORE: Why nuclear-armed Pakistan ‘poses bigger threat to India than China’

He continued: “Despite all this uptick in tensions between India and China, there is still a significant amount of economic interest on both sides.

“Within the past few years, both of their leaders were touting the prospect of a more extensive relationship.

“Economically and developmentally.

“They both recognise each other as significant neighbours and would like to pursue that.”

Despite the border tensions reaching new heights over recent weeks, Mr Markey still believes a “true war scenario” between the nations is less likely than India and Pakistan.

He added: “If these border tensions are real and it’s a problem and is affecting confidence on both sides about each other but they are also quite manageable.

“And a true war scenario between India and China, though is quite possible, is less likely than an India Pakistan one even now.”

The border despite between New Delhi and Islamabad has been ongoing for years and the nations have both fought deadly conflicts over the region.

Last year, the two countries engaged in cross-border strikes after India accused Pakistan of harbouring insurgents responsible for a suicide attack.

Pakistan continues to deny the allegations.

source: express.co.uk