In an effort to break theover the next economic stimulus package, a group of Senate Republicans and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi are offering different approaches to get a deal done instead of letting talks drag out longer. Pelosi said she’d be willing to spin out some funding now and address the rest in the new year, Bloomberg reported.
Senate Republicans plan to introduce a “skinny” coronavirus stimulus package that could include $10 billion aimed at addressing theand that may be similar to an signed by President Donald Trump. “I don’t think we’ll pass, in the Senate, a postal-only bill,” Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said Tuesday.
The ability of the USPS to run effectively during the, and concerns over its ability to handle a surge of , has shifted the debate over America’s in a new direction.
Pelosi said Sunday she will cut the House of Representatives’ break short, with a vote on standalone legislation expected Saturday that would.
It doesn’t appear that either USPS bill would include a, but it’s clear that whenever the stimulus relief negotiations resume, both parties will want to include more help for struggling Americans. Here are five reasons we still think a stimulus bill of some sort will happen. We update this story frequently as the news develops.
Both sides want to resume stalled negotiations
If all the name-calling and finger-pointing this month have revealed anything, it’s that both Democrats and Republicans recognize the need for another emergency relief package to help the US cope with coronavirus testing,, a and the , among other things.
Despite signing four executive actions earlier this month, the president tweeted support for a bill Aug. 14 (while also bashing Democrats), with school reopenings on his personal agenda.
“We can’t wait until Sept. 30,” Pelosi said Aug. 13 about the passage of the stimulus bill. “People will die.”
When could the stimulus bill pass?
|House votes||Senate votes||President signs|
|Possible timeline if legislation passes in September||Sept. 8||Sept. 9||Sept. 10|
|Sept. 14||Sept. 15||Sept. 16|
|Sept. 16||Sept. 17||Sept. 18|
|Sept. 21||Sept. 22||Sept. 23|
Trump’s executive actions don’t cover all necessary areas
The president’s recent directives (one executive order and three memoranda) cover a $400-maximum unemployment benefit,, deferral of student loan payments and a .
Trump’s executive actions skip over areas that have been considered in a bipartisan stimulus package, including:
- , tracing and treatment of COVID-19
- Support schools reopening and provide PPE (personal protective equipment)
- Food assistance
- Aid for local and state governments
- Protection for liability from coronavirus lawsuits
- Money to keep
On the Republican side, McConnell has said repeatedly that liability protection for businesses and schools must also be part of an agreement, which the orders didn’t touch.
Executive orders could take weeks before going into effect
Trump’s memorandum suggested a $400-maximum unemployment benefit, of which federal funds would only cover $300 and states are expected to chip in the remaining $100. Governors of cash-strapped states struggling with the coronavirus pandemic are already pushing back. Earlier in August, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo called the benefits order “laughable.” California Gov. Gavin Newsom estimated that matching the proposed unemployment benefits would cost California around $700 million per week, which would require deep program cuts.
White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said federal help will only take about “two weeks,” but labor experts have said that Americans could be waiting upward of a month before seeing a check.
In addition, the new program will only be available to people who can certify that they’re unemployed or partially unemployed due to disruptions caused by COVID-19, and only if they already qualify for at least $100 a week in unemployment benefits. The policy excludes about 1 million people.
The methods by which Trump wants to fund his orders could cause more delays. The president is unilaterally seeking to use leftover or unspent FEMA funds — ahead of what experts say will be an active hurricane season — to pay unemployment benefits.
In addition, if Trump’s orders are challenged in court, legal action could further delay relief aid to Americans. Because the Constitution gives Congress control over federal spending, the president may not have the legal authority to issue binding executive orders about how money should be spent during the pandemic.
On top of the wait time to get federal unemployment benefits, the funding could also run out in about a month and a half, according to labor department officials.
Executive orders might be a dead end
In addition to lacking a definitive stance on relief aid, as well as measures for testing, tracing and treating the coronavirus, the orders signed by Trump don’t officially renew a moratorium on evictions. Instead, they leave thein the hands of Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Robert Redfield. There’s also no official direction about providing financial assistance to renters, leaving that up to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson.
The memorandum regarding student loan deferral only extends previous deadlines. And as for payroll tax cuts, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said that the directives could leave individuals and businesses with a larger bill to pay in a few months.
Politicians will want a win before the November election
The election season is well underway, and November is quickly approaching. As such, 470 seats in the US Congress — 35 Senate seats and all 435 House seats — are up for election.
Trump, McConnell and Pelosi are all looking to be reelected this fall. And incumbents are aware that their constituents are watching their every move in regard to the. It’s also possible that the topic of a relief package could come up during town halls or debates held during the election season.
With first-time jobless claims totaled 963,000 two weeks ago, dipping only marginally below 1 million claims for the first time since March, and a housing crisis looming ever closer, obstinately waiting for the other side to cave can only be seen as a valid strategy for so long. Votes are on the line, and pushing through a working stimulus package could help ensure another term in office.
For more information, we’ve looked atand compared the stimulus proposals.