The spread of China's mysterious, fatal Wuhan virus is poised to get infinitely worse as the Chinese New Year travel rush begins

wuhan virus china travel
wuhan virus china travel

Reuters

  • A deadly coronavirus known as the “Wuhan virus,” or 2019-nCoV, is gripping China.

  • At least three people have died from the illness, which originated in a seafood market in Wuhan, central China.

  • The disease has since spread to at least two other Chinese cities and three other Asian countries.

  • The spread could get much, much worse as hundreds of millions of people prepare to travel home for the Lunar New Year holidays this week, and cram into crowded train stations and airports.

  • Authorities around the world are ramping up border health screenings, but scientists and Chinese citizens both say they’re not enough.

  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

The spread of China’s mysterious, deadly coronavirus could accelerate rapidly as hundreds of millions prepare to travel home for the Lunar New Year holidays this week, as citizens bemoan the inadequate measures authorities are taking so far.

The country is scrambling to halt the spread of 2019-nCoV, also known as the Wuhan virus. The infection originated in a seafood and meat market in Wuhan, a large city in central China.

Three people in the city have died from the illness, local health authorities said. The total number of infections in the country was 217 on Monday, according to Reuters.

The virus has also spread to the Chinese cities of Beijing and Shenzhen, as well as South Korea, Thailand, and Japan.

Not much is known about the Wuhan virus, apart from the fact that it has pneumonia-like symptoms — like a fever and difficulty in breathing— and has been identified as a strain of coronavirus infecting the nose, throat, or sinuses. It has also been likened to severe acute respiratory syndrome, or SARS.

Experts warn the virus could be further spread by human-to-human contact, though the World Health Organisation has said that animals appear the most likely source of the outbreak.

Wuhan China seafood market virus source
Wuhan China seafood market virus source

Photo by Noel Celis/AFP via Getty Images

Health authorities across Asia are ramping up measures to spot and contain people carrying the disease, with medics in Hazmat suits taking passengers’ temperatures before planes can fly from Wuhan, and various airports increasing health screenings of people traveling from China.

The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) are screening incoming passengers from China at airports in New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, as are health authorities in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Tokyo.

Chinese President Xi Jinping also called for increased focus on the disease, saying in a statement cited by state TV: “People’s lives and health should be given top priority and the spread of the outbreak should be resolutely curbed,” according to Reuters.

Mask sales have also surged in Wuhan, with one employee at a Beike Drug Store branch telling Reuters demand had grown ten times than before the outbreak. (It’s not entirely clear, however, if masks provide effective protection against the disease.)

china wuhan virus
china wuhan virus

Reuters

‘Largest annual human migration in the world’

But many citizens say this is far from being enough, and fear the spread of the disease could get infinitely worse as the holiday season approaches.

Hundreds of millions of Chinese citizens are preparing flock home for Lunar New Year — also known as Chinese New Year — this week, mostly via trains, planes, roads, and ferries, both domestically and internationally. The first day of the New Year is on Saturday.

Lunar New Year travels have been described as the “largest annual human migration in the world,” and this year’s traffic could get especially bad as the holiday overlaps with university winter holidays.

chinese lunar new year travel
chinese lunar new year travel

Aly Song/Reuters

“It’s highly likely we’ll see this virus spread given that it appears there’s some form of human-to-human transmission and given the scale of travel in the lead-up to Chinese New Year,” Alexandra Phelan, a faculty research instructor in microbiology and immunology at Georgetown University, told CNBC Monday.

“Looking further on, I think we’re likely to have cases around China and also there will likely be cases in other countries as people travel.”

Jeremy Farrar, a specialist in infectious disease epidemics at the Wellcome Trust health charity, also told Reuters: “There is more to come from this outbreak.”

Last week scientists from Imperial College London warned that the disease may have infected more than 1,700 people already, more than 35 times the official total at the time.

Wuhan China virus coronavirus disease travel screening
Wuhan China virus coronavirus disease travel screening

Noel Celis/AFP via Getty Images

‘There must be no concealment’

Though authorities have vowed to ramp up health screenings, such facilities still appear to be lacking in many major travel hubs.

There were no infrared temperature cameras to detect elevated body temperatures at the busy Beijing West railway station, and only half of the people there were wearing face masks, Reuters reported.

Just having thermal scanners isn’t enough, either. Professor Allen Cheng, a infectious diseases physician at Australia’s Monash University, said: “Evidence suggests that entry screening (e.g. thermal scanners) aren’t very effective at identifying people with new viruses.”

“This is because border screening isn’t very sensitive (people with infection don’t always have a fever when they pass the scanner) and aren’t specific (most people with a fever will have another infection, like influenza).”

wuhan virus plane scan
wuhan virus plane scan

Chinese social media via David Paulk/Twitter

Cheng added that instead, people entering countries should be told what to look out for and where to find medical help. But many people in China have complained of a lack of such guidance.

One person wrote on popular microblogging platform Weibo: “I have to search on Weibo by myself for all the new developments — no notice from schools, companies or the compound where I live,” according to Reuters.

“So ignorant, so fearless, so arrogant,” another person said, according to the news agency.

wuhan virus china travel face mask
wuhan virus china travel face mask

Reuters

Even the Global Times, a state-run tabloid that effectively functions as a Communist Party mouthpiece, called on the government to increase transparency about the virus.

It said in a Sunday opinion piece: “All relevant information must be notified to the public, and there must be no concealment. Concealment would be a serious blow to the government’s credibility and might trigger greater social panic.”

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