The analysis, comprising of three different models, showed Mr Trump winning either 289, 332 or 351 Electoral College votes.
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics and co-author of the report, told CNBC: “If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote. It’s about turnout.”
The issue of the economy has been a key factor throughout Mr Trump’s presidency, and is sure to be a defining feature of his reelection campaign.
Polling data collected so far in the build-up to 2020 indicate it could be a close election.
source: express.co.uk