Markets unsettled by Brexit uncertainty as pound struggles to recover

 

7:59AM

Italian set for relief rally with elections (probably) averted

Italian Democratic Party Nicola Zingaretti, Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte and Industry Minister and deputy PM Luigi Di Maio Credit: VINCENZO PINTO/ AFP

Italian futures trading is is alone in looking positive this morning, with events in Rome likely to spill into a relief rally.

After days of talks, leftist Five Star (MS5) and Democratic Party (PD) lawmakers agreed to form a coalition, which will maintain the theoretically neutral figure of Giuseppe Conte as Prime Minister. The decision is expected to get the go-ahead soon.

That puts paid to right-wing populist Matteo Salvini’s ambitions for the job, for now. More importantly for markets, it dispels the uncertainty that a fresh general election would have entailed.

7:32AM

Agenda: Pound plunge and car industry stuck in reverse

Anti-Brexit protesters gathered outside Parliament yesterday Credit:  Vudi Xhymshiti/AP

Good morning. The pound suffered one of its sharpest tumbles of the year yesterday as City analysts warned that Boris Johnson’s plan to suspend Parliament will send the currency even lower in the coming weeks. It later recovered some ground, while the FTSE 100 seemed unhinged from sterling’s movements.

5 things to start your day

1) Car production in the UK is stuck in reverse, falling 10.6pc in July —the 14th consecutive month of decline as Brexit and global economic uncertainties weigh. A total of 108,239 cars rolled off British production lines during the month, taking the year to date output to 774,760, almost a fifth down on the same point in 2018.

2) Running out of puff: the merger of tobacco giants Philip Morris and Altria faces uphill battle. Falling income. Hankering after faded glory days. An effort to stay relevant amid changing trends. In the music industry, getting the band’s original line-up back together is one of the oldest tricks in the book but often it says more about the absence of fresh ideas than the promise of renewed success.

3) Britain’s offshore wind farms are about to get bigger after the Crown Estate decided that seven sites could comfortably expand their operations without posing any threat to the environment. The expansion will add 2.85 GW to the UK’s wind farm capacity, equating to an extra 10pc in the UK’s offshore wind farm capacity. 

4) WH Smith is making more money from its shops in hospitals than from those in train stations as it told the City it expects to meet its profit targets. The retailer has been increasingly focusing on lucrative travel locations such as airports and railways stations, while its high street shops have seen sales dwindle in recent years. 

5) Toyota is taking a 5pc slice of its smaller Japanese rival Suzuki in the latest tie-up in the global car industry. It will pay 96bn yen (£740m) for the stake, while Suzuki will fork out 46bn yen for 0.2pc of Toyota.

What happened overnight

Asian markets sank again on Thursday as investors grow increasingly pessimistic about the outlook for China-US trade talks, while a closely watched recession indicator hit a level not seen since just before the financial crisis.

The pound remained under pressure after Prime Minister Boris Johnson forced an extended suspension of parliament, heightening the prospect of a no-deal Brexit and leading to speculation of a snap no-confidence vote.

Wall Street provided a healthy lead but investors in Asia remain on edge after the weekend’s face-off between China and the US that saw each side impose tariffs on hundreds of billions of goods, and Donald Trump label Xi Jinping at one point an “enemy”.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng is down 0.4pc, the Shanghai Composite retreated 0.1pc and Tokyo was flat.

Coming up today

Haulage firm Eddie Stobart had been due to report half-year results today, but has pushed the date back to an expected date of “early September” after its shares were suspended on Friday. Recruitment firm Hays, something of a bellwether for the wider economy, will report its full-year results. 

Full-year results: Hays

Interim results: Chesnara, Hunting, the Gym Group, Knot Offshore

Trading statement: Amigo, McColl’s Retail

Economics: GDP (US), trade balance (US)

source: yahoo.com