Hurricane tracker: Hurricane risk GROWS as newly formed Tropical Storm Ivo strengthens

An area of disturbed weather is under the watchful eye of the National Hurricane Center (NHC) as it is forecast to track close to the Floridian coastline. Also churning through the North Atlantic is Tropical Storm Chantal, which when it was named became “the highest latitude named storm formation for an Atlantic tropical cyclone since Alberto in 1988,” according to Colorado State University Meteorologist Phil Klotzbach. The Atlantic hurricane season is in full flow, with meteorologist closely monitoring any disturbances.

According to the NHC, there is an area of disturbed weather which extends over the Central and Northwest Bahamas and the adjacent waters.

The experts predict some slow development of this system over the next several days as it moves toward the Florida peninsula and then the southeastern United States.

The chance of formation into a tropical system in the next five days stands at 20 percent.

Currently, the disturbance is triggering a cluster of thunderstorms, but it is at weak levels and not yet organised.

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However, AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said the area in which it is located is “an area where there has been quick development of weak features.”

The Atlantic hurricane season reaches its peak around September 11, on average.

During the next couple of weeks, the risk of additional tropical storm and hurricane formation increases substantially from its midsummer lull.

But conditions can change quickly.

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Mr Kottlowski said: ”We are within the most likely time of the year for tropical development across the Atlantic basin and any feature that can acquire a low-level circulation can also evolve into an organised tropical feature.”

Tropical Storm Chantal was located about 455 miles to the south of Cape Race, Newfoundland, on Wednesday and was tracking eastward at a speed of 21 mph.

It had maximum sustained winds of 40mph as of the NHC’s latest update.

Currently, conditions in the Atlantic are conducive to forming hurricanes, but wind shear will prevent this weekend seeing formation according to the hurricane expert.

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Mr Kottlowski said: ”Sea-surface temperatures are sufficiently warm for development, but wind shear is likely to inhibit development into this weekend.”

A front is forecast to track slowly along the southeastern US coast and a weather system may form along this front this weekend.

Mr Kottlowski added: ”It is possible these features coalesce and slowly give birth to a tropical system next week.”

Meanwhile, in the Pacific Ocean, tropical storm Ivo has formed and is expected by the NHC to intensify into a hurricane by Friday this week.

According to the latest NHC update at 10pm BST, the centre of Tropical Storm Ivo was located 490mile south of the southern tip of Baja California.

Ivo is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h).

A decrease in forward speed and a turn to the northwest is expected by Thursday, with a northwestward motion continuing through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.

Steady strengthening is expected and Ivo is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the centre.

source: express.co.uk