- Mount Agung has been on the brink of eruption for a month
- State of emergency in Bali was extended to October 26
- Seismic activity around the volcano has spiked in recent days
- 186,000 people have been evacuated according to Bali’s Governor
Bringing you the latest news, live updates, seismic graphs, maps and warnings on the Bali volcano Mount Agung. (All times BST)
1.45pm: Mount Agung hit by 788 earthquakes in a day
Mount Agung was hit by 788 earthquakes yesterday. Of these, 270 were shallow quakes, 474 were deep quakes and 44 were local tectonic tremors.
Fears of an eruption escalated over the weekend, when Agung was rocked by a magnitude 4.6 earthquake – the most powerful since the volcano alert was raised to the maximum level on September 22.
There has been a dangerous increase in seismic activity in recent weeks, indicating that magma is moving upwards.
12.22pm: Eruption is ‘more likely than not’
The consensus among volcanologists is that an eruption could still happen at any time.
Dr Janine Kripper, who has been monitoring Mount Agung closely for weeks, said an eruption is still “more likely than not”.
But she stressed that volcanic eruptions are notoriously difficult to predict. “There are too many unknowns, even with the best technology,” she said.
12pm: The wait continues for evacuees
More than 180,000 Balinese locals have abandoned their homes to escape the threat of eruption, according to Bali governor Made Mangku Pastika.
Official estimates suggest no more than 150,000 people have moved to evacuation camps, while thousands of others are staying with friends or family elsewhere on the island.
Mr Pastika said: “Of the 28 villages [inside the evacuation zone], the number of evacuees should be 185,865 people coming from 54,788 families.
“But I estimate that there are 30,000 or more who evacuated to their family’s homes.”
11.30am: Bali Governor claims there will be ‘no deaths’
Mount Agung has not erupted since 1963, when a series of explosions killed more than 1,100 people and injured about 300 more.
Bali Governor Made Mangku Pastika believes Bali’s swift evacuation process this time around means there will be no deaths if Agung erupts again.
“If something happened, even if an eruption happened today, I guarantee there will be no victims,” he said.